• The difficulty lies not so much in developing new ideas as in escaping from old ones.

    John Maynard Keynes

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The Iron Capital Blog: Perspective


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  • Iron Capital Perspectives
  • April 2, 2020
  • Chuck Osborne

Figures Lie and Liars Figure

My profession has been number crunching for a long time, and those of us who have been around as long as I have understand both the value and the problems with mathematical prediction models. The first thing to realize with models is that whatever answer they give, it is guaranteed to be wrong. This is a given. Real life never follows the model exactly, so being absolutely correct is not even a question. The question is, how wrong is the model?


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  • Iron Capital Perspectives
  • March 16, 2020
  • Chuck Osborne

If you know who you are…

If you know who you are then you know what to do, and we are America.


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  • Iron Capital Perspectives
  • March 3, 2020
  • Chuck Osborne

If

Corrections in the stock market are painful but necessary. The unfortunate fact that they seem to happen at the speed of light these days does not change the long-term truth.


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  • Iron Capital Perspectives
  • November 14, 2019
  • Chuck Osborne

Knowledge

Americans are rightly concerned with inequality. The strange omission in all of this is the lack of curiosity about what causes inequality.


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  • Iron Capital Perspectives
  • September 11, 2019
  • Chuck Osborne

Integrity

It is easy to have integrity in theory; it is a little harder when we demand it in practice. Of course, most would laugh at the idea of discussing integrity and politics in the same post, but here I go…